Aṅguttara Nikāya · Discourse 5.78

Future Perils (2nd)

Dutiyaanāgatabhayasutta — Yodhājīvavagga — the eighth chapter of the Fives

Setting
None stated; the discourse continues from AN 5.1, whose setting at Sāvatthī in Jeta’s Grove is understood to hold
Speakers
The Buddha alone, addressing the mendicants
Form
the same five-part reflection template as AN 5.77, applied to any mendicant and turned toward future changes in circumstance rather than physical danger
Length
~3 minutes to read
Northern parallel
not identified in this collection
Difficulty
★☆☆☆☆ — a straightforward, practical set of reflections

Why this discourse

AN 5.77's template, generalized: instead of wilderness-specific physical dangers, any mendicant is invited to reflect on five future changes — old age, sickness, famine, civil unrest, and schism in the Saṅgha — each used as a spur to practice now, before circumstance makes practice harder.

Reading guide

The same template, generalized

As at AN 5.77, each reflection repeats an identical shape, but the addressee widens from wilderness-dwellers specifically to any mendicant, and the content shifts from external threats to predictable changes in one's own life and community.

Old age and sickness

The first two perils are the ordinary bodily changes every practitioner can expect: old age, and sickness. Both follow the identical warning — that focusing on the Buddha's instructions, and frequenting remote wilderness lodgings, become harder once either has taken hold.

Famine and civil unrest

The third and fourth perils — famine and civil unrest — share a single consequence: people move toward safety or sustenance and end up living crowded and cramped together (saṅgaṇikavihāra), which itself becomes an obstacle to focused practice. This material closely parallels AN 5.54, which named famine and unrest among its own list of times unfavorable for meditation.

Schism in the Saṅgha

The fifth and gravest peril is schism within the monastic community itself — named last, as the deepest disruption to the shared conditions that otherwise support practice.

Motivation, not fear

As at AN 5.77, each reflection closes not with resignation but with a resolve to preempt the coming difficulty by practicing now, specifically so that when old age, sickness, famine, unrest, or schism eventually arrives, one can live comfortably even so.

A third companion to come

AN 5.79 shifts register entirely, from personal and circumstantial change to institutional and doctrinal decline — the corruption of teaching and training themselves, rather than external or bodily hardship.

Key terms

jarā — “old age” — the first of the five future perils here.
byādhi — “sickness, disease” — the second.
dubbhikkha — “famine, scarcity” — the third.
saṅgaṇikavihāra — “crowded, cramped communal living” — the shared consequence named for both the famine and civil-unrest perils.
saṅghabheda — “schism in the Saṅgha” — the fifth and gravest peril named here.

The text

The discourse in full: the same reflection template as AN 5.77, applied to any mendicant and turned toward five future changes in circumstance. Translation: Bhikkhu Sujato (CC0, SuttaCentral).

The five future perils, generalized

§1“Mendicants, seeing these five future perils is quite enough for a mendicant to meditate diligently, keenly, and resolutely for attaining the unattained, achieving the unachieved, and realizing the unrealized. What five?

Old age

§2A mendicant reflects: ‘Currently I’m a youth, young, with pristine black hair, blessed with youth, in the prime of life. But there will come a time when this body is struck with old age. When you’re old, overcome by old age, it’s not easy to focus on the instructions of the Buddhas, and it’s not easy to frequent remote lodgings in the wilderness and the forest. Before that unlikable, undesirable, and disagreeable thing happens, I’d better preempt it by rousing up energy for attaining the unattained, achieving the unachieved, and realizing the unrealized. That way, when it happens, I’ll live comfortably even though I’m old.’ This is the first future peril …

Sickness

§3Furthermore, a mendicant reflects: ‘Currently, I’m rarely ill or unwell. My stomach digests well, being neither too hot nor too cold, but just right, and fit for meditation. But there will come a time when this body is struck with sickness. When you’re sick, overcome by sickness, it’s not easy to focus on the instructions of the Buddhas, and it’s not easy to frequent remote lodgings in the wilderness and the forest. Before that unlikable, undesirable, and disagreeable thing happens, I’d better preempt it by rousing up energy for attaining the unattained, achieving the unachieved, and realizing the unrealized. That way, when it happens, I’ll live comfortably even though I’m sick.’ This is the second future peril …

Famine

§4Furthermore, a mendicant reflects: ‘Currently, there’s plenty of food, a good harvest, so it’s easy to get almsfood, and easy to keep going by collecting alms. But there will come a time of famine, a bad harvest, when it’s hard to get almsfood, and not easy to keep going by collecting alms. In a time of famine, people move to where there’s plenty of food, where they live crowded and cramped together. When you live crowded and cramped together, it’s not easy to focus on the instructions of the Buddhas, and it’s not easy to frequent remote lodgings in the wilderness and the forest. Before that unlikable, undesirable, and disagreeable thing happens, I’d better preempt it by rousing up energy for attaining the unattained, achieving the unachieved, and realizing the unrealized. That way, when it happens, I’ll live comfortably even though there’s a famine.’ This is the third future peril …

Civil unrest

§5Furthermore, a mendicant reflects: ‘Currently, people live in harmony, appreciating each other, without dispute, blending like milk and water, and regarding each other with kindly eyes. But there will come a time of peril due to turmoil in the wilds, so the countryfolk mount their vehicles and flee everywhere. In a time of peril, people move to where there’s sanctuary, where they live crowded and cramped together. When you live crowded and cramped together, it’s not easy to focus on the instructions of the Buddhas, and it’s not easy to frequent remote lodgings in the wilderness and the forest. Before that unlikable, undesirable, and disagreeable thing happens, I’d better preempt it by rousing up energy for attaining the unattained, achieving the unachieved, and realizing the unrealized. That way, when it happens, I’ll live comfortably even in a time of peril.’ This is the fourth future peril …

Schism in the Saṅgha

§6Furthermore, a mendicant reflects: ‘Currently, the Saṅgha lives comfortably, in harmony, appreciating each other, without dispute, with one recitation. But there will come a time of schism in the Saṅgha. When there is schism in the Saṅgha, it’s not easy to focus on the instructions of the Buddhas, and it’s not easy to frequent remote lodgings in the wilderness and the forest. Before that unlikable, undesirable, and disagreeable thing happens, I’d better preempt it by rousing up energy for attaining the unattained, achieving the unachieved, and realizing the unrealized. That way, when it happens, I’ll live comfortably even though there’s schism in the Saṅgha.’ This is the fifth future peril …

The close

§7These are the five future perils, seeing which is quite enough for a mendicant to meditate diligently, keenly, and resolutely for attaining the unattained, achieving the unachieved, and realizing the unrealized.”

· · ·

Self-check quiz

Ten questions. Click an answer to see immediate feedback. No score is recorded — this is for your own checking.

Question 1 of 10
Unlike AN 5.77, who is this discourse's reflection template addressed to?
Correct: B. The generalized audience, distinguishing this discourse from AN 5.77.
Question 2 of 10
What is the first of the five future perils named here?
Correct: A. Jarā — old age, the first peril.
Question 3 of 10
What consequence do both the famine and civil-unrest perils share?
Correct: B. Saṅgaṇikavihāra — crowded communal living, the shared consequence.
Question 4 of 10
What is named as the gravest, final peril?
Correct: C. Saṅghabheda, placed last among the five.
Question 5 of 10
What common warning closes each of the five reflections?
Correct: B. The shared consequence-warning repeated across all five perils.
Question 6 of 10
What does the reflector resolve to do about each of these five perils?
Correct: B. Motivation for present practice, not resignation.
Question 7 of 10
What earlier discourse in this nipāta shares this discourse's famine and unrest material almost exactly?
Correct: B. AN 5.54's list of times unfavorable for meditation names famine and unrest as well.
Question 8 of 10
Is old age presented here mainly as something to fear, or as motivation?
Correct: B. Consistent with the discourse's overall reflective, motivating purpose.
Question 9 of 10
What Pali term names the crowded-living consequence shared by two of the five perils?
Correct: B. The shared consequence of famine and civil unrest.
Question 10 of 10
What does the third companion discourse, AN 5.79, shift toward that AN 5.77–78 do not address?
Correct: B. A shift from personal/circumstantial change to the corruption of teaching and training.
Answered 0 of 10 · Correct 0